BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

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Des Moines Lincoln

Class: 4A Class Rank: 31 Conference: 4A-4 Record: (3-1-0) Overall: (39-48-0) Overall Strength =   77.16

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/19/2011 Home    L *  73.87  13  48   4A   3 ( 73- 38-  0) Southeast Polk         -3.18    -31.82                      
  2 08/26/2011 Away    W    95.35  48  24   3A  45 ( 16- 74-  0) Mason City             18.31      5.69                      
  3 09/02/2011 Home    W   107.31  60  41   4A  17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East        30.27    -11.27                      
  4 09/09/2011 Away    W   131.35  47   7   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola              54.30    -14.30                      
  5 09/23/2011 Away    W    99.65  39  13   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   22.60      3.40                      
  6 09/30/2011 Home    W * 101.06  86  28   4A  40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North       24.02     33.98                      
  7 10/07/2011 Home    W    85.22  49  31   4A  33 ( 24- 67-  0) Ottumwa                 8.17      9.83                      
  8 10/14/2011 Away    W   117.34  70  16   3A  52 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Hoover      40.30     13.70                      
  9 10/21/2011 Home    W   130.63  61   6   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East        53.59      1.41                      
 10 10/26/2011 Home    W   113.63  52  14   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East        36.59      1.41                      
 11 10/31/2011 Home    L    85.48   6  41   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling             8.43    -43.43                      
 12 08/24/2012 Home    L    76.14  15  38   4A  11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston               -0.91    -22.09                      
 13 08/31/2012 Away    L    81.66  27  56   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                  4.62    -33.62                      
 14 09/07/2012 Home    W    97.11  34   7   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   20.06      6.94                      
 15 09/14/2012 Away    L    58.17  28  49   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East       -18.87     -2.13                      
 16 09/21/2012 Away    L    81.94  20  40   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale               4.89    -24.89                      
 17 09/28/2012 Home    W    88.46  55  28   4A  36 ( 25- 63-  0) CB Jefferson           11.41     15.59                      
 18 10/05/2012 Home    L    88.79   7  37   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley             11.74    -41.74                      
 19 10/11/2012 Away    L    66.86  21  46   4A  17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East       -10.19    -14.81                      
 20 10/19/2012 Away    L    72.35  14  33   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola              -4.70    -14.30                      
 21 08/30/2013 Away    L    59.68   6  49   4A  11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston              -17.37    -25.63  NC                  
 22 09/06/2013 Home    L    74.12  21  54   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 -2.93    -30.07  NC                  
 23 09/13/2013 Away    L    56.65   6  23   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt  -20.40      3.40  NC                  
 24 09/20/2013 Home    W   107.63  39   7   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East        30.59      1.41  NC                  
 25 09/27/2013 Home    L    46.39   6  58   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale             -30.65    -21.35                      
 26 10/04/2013 Away    W    79.00  28  14   4A  36 ( 25- 63-  0) CB Jefferson            1.96     12.04                      
 27 10/11/2013 Away    L    83.33  15  54   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley              6.28    -45.28                      
 28 10/18/2013 Home    L    46.31   0  42   4A  17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East       -30.73    -11.27                      
 29 10/25/2013 Home    L    79.81   6  14   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola               2.76    -10.76                      
 30 08/29/2014 Away    W *  85.61  39   0   4A  40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North        8.56     30.44                      
 31 09/05/2014 Home    L    59.81   7  35   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola             -17.24    -10.76                      
 32 09/12/2014 Home    L    67.11   6   9   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   -9.94      6.94                      
 33 09/19/2014 Away    L    66.17  14  27   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East       -10.87     -2.13                      
 34 09/26/2014 Home    L    54.43  27  39   4A  34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln            -22.62     10.62                      
 35 10/03/2014 Away    W    68.07  19   6   4A  39 ( 12- 79-  0) Sioux City West        -8.97     21.97                      
 36 10/10/2014 Home    L    56.10   0  49   4A   7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial     -20.95    -28.05                      
 37 10/17/2014 Home    W    73.80  49  35   3A  52 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Hoover      -3.24     17.24                      
 38 10/24/2014 Away    L    60.33   0  62   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -16.72    -45.28                      
 39 10/29/2014 Away    L    75.66   7  42   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                 -1.38    -33.62                      
 40 08/28/2015 Home    W *  69.06  33   7   4A  40 (  5- 78-  0) Des Moines North       -7.98     33.98  ND                  
 41 09/04/2015 Away    L    68.35  27  50   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola              -8.70    -14.30  ND                  
 42 09/11/2015 Away    W    74.65   8   7   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt   -2.40      3.40  ND                  
 43 09/18/2015 Home    L    53.63  34  56   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East       -23.41      1.41  ND                  
 44 09/25/2015 Away    W    72.97  10   7 1 4A  34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln             -4.07      7.07                      
 45 10/02/2015 Home    W    52.53  22  21   4A  39 ( 12- 79-  0) Sioux City West       -24.52     25.52                      
 46 10/09/2015 Away    L    70.64   0  38   4A   7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      -6.41    -31.59                      
 47 10/16/2015 Away    L    29.34   7  41   3A  52 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Hoover     -47.70     13.70                      
 48 10/23/2015 Home    L    48.79   6  76   4A   2 ( 97- 20-  0) WDM Valley            -28.26    -41.74                      
 49 10/28/2015 Away    L    60.02   0  64   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling           -17.02    -46.98                      
 50 08/26/2016 Home    W    78.11  22  14   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt    1.06      6.94  ND                  
 51 09/02/2016 Away    L    62.17  14  31   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East       -14.87     -2.13  ND                  
 52 09/09/2016 Home    W   102.22  42   7   4A  33 ( 24- 67-  0) Ottumwa                25.17      9.83  ND                  
 53 09/16/2016 Away    W    64.34  32  31   3A  52 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Hoover     -12.70     13.70  ND                  
 54 09/23/2016 Home    L    53.10  13  65   4A   7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial     -23.95    -28.05                      
 55 09/30/2016 Away    L    73.02  12  63   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            -4.02    -46.98                      
 56 10/06/2016 Away    W    97.07  42   0   4A  39 ( 12- 79-  0) Sioux City West        20.03     21.97                      
 57 10/14/2016 Home    L    82.03  37  42   4A  19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                    4.98     -9.98                      
 58 10/21/2016 Away    W    74.97  19  14   4A  34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln             -2.07      7.07                      
 59 08/25/2017 Away    L    59.65  20  34   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt  -17.40      3.40  ND                  
 60 09/01/2017 Home    W    95.63  41  21   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East        18.59      1.41  ND                  
 61 09/08/2017 Away    W   102.76  51  19   4A  33 ( 24- 67-  0) Ottumwa                25.72      6.28  ND                  
 62 09/15/2017 Home    W    76.80  58  41   3A  52 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Hoover      -0.24     17.24  ND                  
 63 09/22/2017 Away    L    73.64   7  42   4A   7 ( 60- 24-  0) Ankeny Centennial      -3.41    -31.59                      
 64 09/29/2017 Home    L    79.48  21  62   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling             2.43    -43.43                      
 65 10/06/2017 Home    W    98.53  47   0   4A  39 ( 12- 79-  0) Sioux City West        21.48     25.52                      
 66 10/13/2017 Away    W    96.57  47  41 1 4A  19 ( 49- 46-  0) Ames                   19.52    -13.52                      
 67 10/20/2017 Home    W   115.43  62  13   4A  34 ( 32- 61-  0) CB Lincoln             38.38     10.62                      
 68 08/24/2018 Away    W    93.17  40  26   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East        16.13     -2.13  ND                  
 69 08/31/2018 Home    W    84.11  21   7   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt    7.06      6.94  ND                  
 70 09/07/2018 Away    L    78.94  33  56   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale               1.89    -24.89  ND                  
 71 09/14/2018 Home    L    51.81   6  42   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola             -25.24    -10.76  ND                  
 72 09/21/2018 Away    W   102.27  61  24   4A  35 ( 22- 70-  0) Sioux City North       25.23     11.77                      
 73 09/28/2018 Home    L    77.48   0  43   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling             0.43    -43.43                      
 74 10/05/2018 Away    L    63.66   0  47   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                -13.38    -33.62                      
 75 10/12/2018 Home    L    78.31  32  42   4A  17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East         1.27    -11.27                      
 76 10/19/2018 Away    W    97.34  41   7   3A  52 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Hoover      20.30     13.70                      
 77 08/30/2019 Home    W    77.63  20  18   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East         0.59      1.41  ND                  
 78 09/06/2019 Away    L    29.65   0  44   4A  32 ( 28- 57-  0) Des Moines Roosevelt  -47.40      3.40  ND                  
 79 09/13/2019 Home    L    57.39  12  53   4A  12 ( 62- 38-  0) Urbandale             -19.65    -21.35  ND                  
 80 09/20/2019 Away    L    46.35  14  59   4A  18 ( 50- 47-  0) Indianola             -30.70    -14.30  ND                  
 81 09/27/2019 Home    W    94.73  63  30   4A  35 ( 22- 70-  0) Sioux City North       17.69     15.31                      
 82 10/04/2019 Away    L    70.02   7  61   4A   1 (112- 14-  0) WDM Dowling            -7.02    -46.98                      
 83 10/11/2019 Home    L    65.12   0  42   4A   5 ( 80- 32-  0) Ankeny                -11.93    -30.07                      
 84 10/17/2019 Away    L    60.86   7  38   4A  17 ( 55- 41-  0) Sioux City East       -16.19    -14.81                      
 85 10/25/2019 Home    W    75.80  23   7   3A  52 ( 25- 59-  0) Des Moines Hoover      -1.24     17.24                      
 86 08/28/2020 Home    W   101.63  39  13   4A  30 ( 35- 51-  0) Des Moines East        24.59      1.41                      
 87 09/04/2020 Away    L    68.68   8  42   4A  11 ( 61- 42-  0) Johnston               -8.37    -25.63                      
      Averages              77.16  25.4 32.5

Best game:  131.35 = 40 point win over Indianola
Worst game:  29.34 = 34 point loss to Des Moines Hoover
Team stdev:  20.34